Bill Losey’s Weekly Economic Update May 24, 2010

Attention on Europe (and the Senate). The euro thankfully rose for three straight days last week, after hitting a four-year low after German chancellor Angela Merkel commented that the EU/IMF debt bailout had “done no more than buy time” to fix the crisis. Thursday evening, the Senate passed its version of the financial industry reform bill; the next step is reconciliation with the House version. Stocks were hit hard early in the week, but managed Friday gains; a late rally took the Dow north 125 points.

Consumer, producer prices retreat. This was surprising: the CPI declined 0.1% in April as energy prices fell by 1.4%. The PPI also decreased 0.1%. The Commerce Department reported a 0.9% year-over-year increase in the CPI, well below the Federal Reserve’s annual inflation target of 1.5-2.0%.

Indicators streak ends. The Conference Board’s index of leading indicators slipped 0.1% last month, the first dip since March 2009. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters had forecast a 0.2% increase.

Housing starts rise, permits fall. Overall housing starts increased by 5.8% in April to the highest level since October 2008, with a 10.0% rise in single-family construction. However, the Commerce Department had building permits down by 11.5% – an effect of expiring federal tax credits.

Bulls try to hold their ground. All three major U.S. indices slipped between 4-5% last week. However, the S&P rose 1.50% Friday to end the week at 1,087.69. At Friday’s close, the Dow was at 10,193.39 and the NASDAQ at 2,229.04.